The Analysts Who Predicted Bitcoin’s Crash – Here’s What They See Coming Next

Crypto

From January to early April, Bitcoin plunged from $109,000 to $74,000, crushing overleveraged traders. Altcoins fared worse—many dropped 90%+ from their highs.

While most investors were blindsided, a handful of analysts saw it coming.

Now, they’re making new predictions—and what they’re forecasting could redefine this bull run.

1. Dave the Wave – The Fractal Forecaster

Predicted: Bitcoin would correct to $81K (0.382 Fib level) before rebounding.
Why? His Log Growth Curve (LGC) model tracks Bitcoin’s historical cycles.

🔹 Key Insight:

  • Bitcoin moves in repeating fractal patterns.
  • Summer 2025 aligns with past cycle peaks.

What’s Next?

  • No exact price target, but $150K–$250K is possible if history repeats.

2. Joe McCann – The Macro Quant

Predicted: Bitcoin would pull back to its 10-month MA (~$75K).
Why?

  • “shooting star” on weekly charts.
  • Rising DXY (dollar strength).
  • CME futures gaps below spot price.

What’s Next?

  • Now bullish again—expects a run to $150K by year-end.
  • Key trigger: ETF inflows stabilizing.

3. Arthur Hayes – The Liquidity Oracle

Predicted: A drop to $70K–$75K due to tightening liquidity.
Why?

  • Treasury bond issuance sucking cash from markets.
  • Memecoin liquidations signaling risk-off sentiment.

What’s Next?

  • If Bitcoin breaks $110K, he sees $250K+ in 2025.
  • Catalyst: Fed reversing Quantitative Tightening (QT).

4. CryptoB – The Sentiment Tracker

Predicted: Multiple 30%+ pullbacks in early 2025.
Why?

  • Overextended RSI divergences.
  • “Buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior (Trump pump, ETF hype).

What’s Next?

  • Rally resumes by June/July—targeting $200K by December.
  • Watch for retail FOMO returning.

5. Michael Howell – The Liquidity Prophet

Predicted: $70K–$75K as the accumulation zone.
Why?

  • Global liquidity contraction.
  • Strong USD pressuring crypto.

What’s Next?

  • $250K Bitcoin in 3 years as central banks return to money printing.

6. BitQuant – The Elliott Wave Specialist

Predicted: A Wave 2 correction to $76K before a massive Wave 3 rally.
Why?

  • Institutional capital via ETFs amplifies market cycles.

What’s Next?

  • $145K Bitcoin by December—Wave 3 tends to be the strongest.

The Big Takeaway: Patterns Over Predictions

These analysts didn’t guess—they used data-driven frameworks:
✅ Macro liquidity shifts
✅ Elliott Wave theory
✅ On-chain sentiment
✅ Fractal cycles

Their consensus?

  • Bitcoin hasn’t peaked yet.
  • The next leg up could be bigger than most expect.

What Should You Do?

✔ Watch liquidity trends (Fed policy, Treasury movements).
✔ Track institutional inflows (ETF buying pressure).
✔ Prepare for volatility—big moves ahead.

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